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SpaceX mini update - Feds kick the can down the road another month for Starbase decision

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SpaceX mini update - Feds kick the can down the road another month for Starbase decision

ESG Hound
Dec 23, 2021
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SpaceX mini update - Feds kick the can down the road another month for Starbase decision

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SpaceX Boca Chica Soap Opera tl;dr:

ESG Hound
The Environmental Impacts of SpaceX's Oil and Gas Gambit
I’m not a journalist. Or, at least, I wasn’t one. In the four weeks since SpaceX and the FAA dropped the Programmatic Environmental Assessment (PEA) for the proposed expansion to Starbase in Boca Chica, I appear to be the only person on the internet actually digging into and writing about all the…
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2 years ago · 8 likes · 9 comments · ESG Hound

As always, please subscribe:

I'm not a beat reporter, so don't get used to these sorts of mini scoops. If you've been following the strange and wild Environmental Assessment process at SpaceX along with me and are concerned that carte blanche approval would be granted to Musk’s Explosion Rocketeers:

You can let out a temporary sigh of relief.

FAA gave an outrageously fast prediction for a decision on the PEA of the end of the year, as reported by multiple outlets. This is faster than they turn around assessments for minor runway projects at airports with almost no public comments received. That kind of speed for a contentious and rather large project would be fodder for an easy-to-win lawsuit against the FAA for shirking their duties under NEPA. So it was always an unlikely projection.

However, SpaceX has continued to project a rapid first orbital launch date of January or February

Twitter avatar for @thesheetztweetz
Michael Sheetz (is on vacation) @thesheetztweetz
Musk reiterates that SpaceX is "expecting our license approval from the FAA around the end of the year," which "probably" means Starships orbital launch attempt is "in January or February."
11:42 PM ∙ Nov 17, 2021
301Likes17Retweets

Even as recently as last week they were still projecting Orbital tests in the next 2 months.

Twitter avatar for @jeff_foust
Jeff Foust @jeff_foust
SpaceX’s Tom Ochinero: planning at least three human spaceflight missions next year, maybe more. First Starship orbital flight attempt still planned for Jan-Feb. #WSBW
4:42 PM ∙ Dec 13, 2021
303Likes32Retweets

This is an odd thing to do, given that multiple agencies, including The Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) both, have ongoing reviews required under Section 7 of the Endangered Species Act.

SpaceX is at the mercy of science and fact-based review of their documentation, no matter how much they project otherwise.

Speaking of, NOAA was asked to provide concurrence with FAA’s determination that landing of Starship would have no impact on critical fish habitats under the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act back in August.

In October, NOAA refused to concur, per a letter reviewed by yours truly and NOAA’s internal compliance tracking system. NOAA’s letter required further assessment which was rolled up into an additional interagency review under the Endangered Species Act.

Here’s a timeline:

  1. August 10- FAA sought out concurrence under The Endangered Species Act (broad agreement that the action would NOT adversely affect protected fisheries or species)

  1. October 28- NOAA says “nah we don’t concur, this action is likely to impact protected habitats, and you need to do an additional consultation to mitigate” (View the letter HERE )

    From NOAA’s Internal Database

These sorts of recommendations under NMFS are all but required to be followed unless you like losing NEPA cases in court
  1. November 4th: FAA re-initiates review to comply with the October 28th determination. This is just for the water/fish habitat impacts, the US Fish and Wildlife Service’s ESA review is a separate and much more complex process.

  2. Today, December 22nd: NOAA’s internal database is updated to indicate that review has been pushed back a month:

Twitter avatar for @ESGhound
ESG Hound @ESGhound
HOT OFF THE PRESS: Interagency Endangered Species Act consultation required for @SpaceX PEA approval delayed to 1/31. Change was made in the database today. FYI: This was triggered when NOAA refused to give a letter of concurrence in October as requested by FAA
Image
Image
2:21 AM ∙ Dec 23, 2021
7Likes2Retweets

That puts NOAA’s generic review of Rocket Landing and Launches back to at least the end of January, with the much more complex and contentious USFWS review also pending (this one is habitat and species review of impacts to bird and wildlife populations specific to Boca Chica).

The earliest approval by the FAA (which again, is far from a sure thing) should be projected into February. And the actual launch license process can't be started until then. March is absolutely the earliest even the giddiest optimist could expect for Starship's Maiden Orbital Flight.

ESG Hound’s official stance on a first-quarter launch:

Doubt Press X GIF - Doubt Press X Press - Discover & Share GIFs

POST SCRIPT: A funny anecdote is that Musk started his bizarre sexist tweets and weeks long attacks on sitting US Senators about 3-4 hours after NOAA’s letter pushing back on a smooth sailing rubber stamping of SpaceX’s Plans. Coincidence? Who knows?

Tweeted 3.5 hours after NOAA’s letter

Twitter avatar for @elonmusk
Elon Musk @elonmusk
Am thinking of starting new university: Texas Institute of Technology & Science
5:20 AM ∙ Oct 29, 2021
633,241Likes55,617Retweets

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SpaceX mini update - Feds kick the can down the road another month for Starbase decision

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2 Comments
Steve Richter
Writes Steve’s Newsletter
Dec 25, 2021

I do not follow. What is it that democrats do not like about Elon? $11 Billion in federal taxes in 2021 is a lot of money. Not counting taxes paid by Tesla investors. And factory employees in California and Texas. Elon is making the green new deal a reality with his electric cars and now battery storage of power grid electricity. On SpaceX, just tune into the YouTube SpaceX channels. A lot of viewers. A lot of whom are not republicans.

Can't we just find out later if the Piping Plover is overly disturbed by weekly sonic booms? The overall environmental impact cannot be anything close to that of the border wall. Which would not have to be built if democrats would push for a reasonable way for Hispanics to work in the US as long as they periodically return to the home country.

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